Solutions · Climate & carbon

Climate Risk Management built to price what the transition actually costs.

SYNE combines physical, transition and supply chain climate risk into a single portfolio-level view - scenario-tested against NGFS and IPCC pathways - so investors, corporates and insurers can quantify exposure before it shows up on the balance sheet.

3 Risk dimensions assessed
NGFS & IPCC scenarios referenced
71 Countries licensed
Scenario-tested against NGFS & IPCC pathways
Physical, transition & supply chain risk in one view
Geospatial hazard modelling to asset level
Aligned to TCFD, ISSB (IFRS S2) & EU Taxonomy
What's included

From a single asset to a portfolio-wide exposure map.

SYNE's Climate Risk Management solution combines geospatial hazard data, scenario modelling, and financial quantification into one workflow - built for investors, corporates and insurers who need to act on exposure, not just report it.

Physical Risk Assessment

Acute hazards (floods, wildfires, cyclones, heat) and chronic hazards (sea-level rise, water stress) scored to the asset level.

Transition Risk Assessment

Policy, legal, market, technology and reputational risk scored across multiple carbon-price and regulatory pathways.

Supply Chain Climate Risk

Extends Supplier Ratings' continuity dimension to climate exposure across tier-1 and Nth-tier supplier locations.

Scenario Analysis & Stress Testing

NGFS orderly, disorderly and hot-house world scenarios, alongside IPCC RCP/SSP pathways, run against your portfolio.

Geospatial Hazard Mapping

Satellite and remote-sensing exposure mapping to the individual asset or facility, integrated with SYNE's Biomass Atlas.

Financial Quantification

Value-at-risk modelling, insured and uninsured loss estimates, and stranded-asset exposure in modelled dollar terms.

SYNE Climate Risk Framework

16 indicators. Four dimensions. One exposure view.

Every Climate Risk assessment is built from 16 indicators spread across Physical Risk, Transition Risk, Supply Chain Risk, and Financial Quantification - scenario-tested against NGFS and IPCC pathways and mapped to TCFD and ISSB (IFRS S2) disclosure categories.

P
4Indicators

Physical Risk

Direct exposure to acute and chronic climate hazards at the asset location.

  • Acute Hazard Exposure (Floods, Wildfires, Cyclones, Heat)
  • Chronic Hazard Exposure (Sea-Level Rise, Water Stress)
  • Asset-Level Geospatial Scoring
  • Insured & Uninsured Loss Modelling
T
4Indicators

Transition Risk

Exposure to policy, market and technology shifts on the path to a lower-carbon economy.

  • Policy & Legal Exposure
  • Market & Technology Disruption
  • Carbon Price Sensitivity (Multiple Pathways)
  • Reputational & Litigation Risk
S
4Indicators

Supply Chain Risk

Climate exposure inherited from suppliers, logistics routes and input dependencies.

  • Supplier Physical Hazard Exposure
  • Nth-Tier Concentration Risk
  • Logistics & Trade Route Disruption
  • Commodity & Input Price Volatility
F
4Indicators

Financial Quantification

Translating exposure across the other three dimensions into modelled financial terms.

  • Value-at-Risk (VaR) Modelling
  • Stranded Asset Exposure
  • Insured & Uninsured Loss Estimates
  • Scenario-Weighted Financial Impact
Who uses Climate Risk Management

Built for anyone with capital exposed to a changing climate.

A climate risk assessment is only useful if it changes a decision - where to invest, what to insure, what to lend against, and at what price.

Investors & Asset Managers

Screen and stress-test portfolios for physical and transition exposure ahead of allocation decisions.

Corporates & Real Asset Owners

Understand facility- and site-level exposure to inform capital expenditure, insurance and resilience planning.

Insurers & Reinsurers

Price physical risk into underwriting decisions using the same geospatial hazard data behind every assessment.

Banks & Lenders

Assess collateral and counterparty exposure to physical and transition risk across a lending book.

Infrastructure & Real Estate Investors

Assess physical exposure across InvIT and REIT holdings where a single hazard event can affect asset value directly.

Governments & Regulators

Benchmark national and regional physical and transition exposure to inform adaptation policy and stress-test regimes.

Why Climate Risk Management matters

Physical and transition risk don't show up on a balance sheet until they do.

Climate hazards and policy shifts are still routinely treated as tail risks - priced at zero until a flood, a heatwave, or a carbon price shock forces a write-down. By then the exposure has already been built into the portfolio, the lending book, or the site selection decision. Quantifying it in advance is the only way to price it, hedge it, or avoid it.

Underpricing

Why physical risk is still underpriced

Historical loss data lags a changing climate - hazard frequency and severity are shifting faster than most pricing models assume.

Capital allocation

What it means for investors & lenders

Unpriced exposure eventually shows up as a stranded asset, an impaired loan, or an unhedged loss - quantifying it early keeps it a choice, not a surprise.

Underwriting

What it means for insurers

Granular, asset-level hazard data allows risk to be priced individually, instead of spreading it across an entire book at a flat rate.

The signal

What the assessment actually tells you

A scenario-tested, financially quantified view of exposure across physical, transition and supply chain risk - not a qualitative checklist.

Methodology

What separates SYNE's Climate Risk Management from a checklist.

Four principles run through every assessment we deliver, from a single asset review to a full portfolio stress test.

Standard

Scenario-grounded

Built on NGFS climate scenarios and IPCC RCP/SSP pathways - not a single deterministic forecast presented as certainty.

Data

Geospatially verified

Physical risk is scored from satellite and remote-sensing hazard data at the asset location, integrated with SYNE's Biomass Atlas.

Independence

Regulatory-grade independence

Aligned with TCFD, ISSB (IFRS S2) and the EU Taxonomy, and operating under the same independence standards as every SYNE Rating.

Consistency

Connected to every SYNE product

Draws on the same emission factors, carbon intensity and supplier data licensed through SYNE Data and used across every SYNE Rating.

End to end

From exposure to a decision, in one workflow.

Climate Risk Management is delivered as a continuous process, not a one-off report - exposure is reassessed as portfolios change and scenarios evolve.

01
Assess

Exposure Mapping

Physical, transition and supply chain exposure mapped at the asset, facility or supplier location.

02
Model

Scenario Testing

Exposure stress-tested against NGFS and IPCC scenarios, from orderly transition to hot-house world.

03
Quantify

Financial Translation

Exposure translated into value-at-risk, insured loss, and stranded-asset terms your finance team can use directly.

04
Monitor

Ongoing Reporting

Exposure re-assessed on a defined cycle and reported in formats aligned to TCFD and ISSB (IFRS S2) disclosure.

Assessment vs. a rating

A Climate Risk Assessment is not a public rating.

A SYNE Rating is a published judgement about an entity. A Climate Risk Assessment is a private analytical tool built for your own portfolio, book, or asset base.

The distinction

Analytics, not a judgement

The assessment doesn't produce a public AAA–D grade for an entity - it quantifies exposure for the client commissioning it, to inform an internal decision.

Confidentiality

Private by default, always

Unlike SYNE's rating products, Climate Risk Assessments are never published without explicit request - they're built for internal use only.

Timeline

4–8 weeks, scoped to portfolio size

Single-asset reviews can turn around in under two weeks; full portfolio stress tests typically run 4–8 weeks depending on asset count.

Integration

Feeds - and is fed by - SYNE Ratings

Carbon intensity, supplier and emissions data already licensed through SYNE Data can be reused directly, avoiding duplicate data collection.

Update cadence

Re-run as scenarios evolve

Assessments are designed to be re-run as NGFS scenarios update or as a portfolio's asset base changes, not treated as a one-time exercise.

Recognition

Built for regulatory disclosure

Outputs map directly to TCFD and ISSB (IFRS S2) disclosure categories, and to EU Taxonomy climate risk criteria.

Global coverage

Geospatial hazard coverage across 71 countries.

Physical and transition risk exposure is modelled across every jurisdiction SYNE is licensed in, drawing on the same geospatial and macro-climate data behind SYNE's Carbon Ratings and ESG Data.

View the full country list →

Each mark represents active coverage in one jurisdiction

Find out what your climate risk actually costs.

Talk to our team about a portfolio-level risk assessment, or request a walkthrough of the scenario framework.